Sunday, March 18, 2018

Notations From the Grid (Special Weekly Edition): Peter Diamandis Pays Tribute to Professor Stephen Hawking

Stephen-Hawking-Peter_2.jpg
(Professor Stephen Hawking floating in Zero-G (Photo by: Jim Campbell))



We are proud to feature this courtesy of the Futurist Peter Diamandis--a compelling Read:

This week, Professor Stephen Hawking died at the age of 76. One of the proudest moments of my life was flying him -- the world's expert in gravity -- into zero gravity. I've shared this powerful story on the TED stage and in previous blogs as a testament to grit, passion and persistence. 
This week, I'm reprinting the story to commemorate Dr. Hawking's life. It was an honor to know him. 
In 2007, I had the incredible opportunity to fly Professor Stephen Hawking aboard a specially modified Boeing 727-200 aircraft called G-FORCE ONE.
What made that flight extremely special was the opportunity to offer Dr. Hawking total freedom after being wheelchair-bound for more than 40 years.
This blog is about that powerful story and the lessons learned in doing something hard and potentially dangerous.

What is Zero-G?

When I was in graduate school, I was desperate for a ride on NASA's zero gravity (parabolic flight) airplane.
I wanted to experience weightlessness like NASA's astronauts in training.
I tried everything to get aboard (including volunteering as a medical guinea pig), but could never score a seat.
Finally, in 1993, after partnering with two friends (Byron Lichtenberg and Ray Cronise), we started a commercial company (Zero Gravity Corporation or ZERO-G) to offer this same experience to anyone who had the desire to go.
But getting the FAA's full permission to start this service for the public took a while -- 11 years, to be exact!
After starting the company in 1993, we finally received approval from the FAA to operate under "Part-121" operations.
Our first flight in mid-September of 2004 was for the filming of Richard Branson's TV show "Rebel Billionaire."
Since then we have flown over 25,000 people into weightless, aged 9 to 93.
But one person was particularly special... 

Flying Stephen Hawking in ZERO G

I first met Professor Hawking back in 2007 during conversations regarding a genomics-related XPRIZE.
At the end of our conversation (which took place with the assistance of his secretary), he asked me if I could help him get on a sub-orbital flight in space.
I explained that I could not at the moment, but instead offered him a flight aboard G-FORCE ONE to experience weightlessness, and suggested that we make that flight a fundraising event in support of ALS research.
He accepted, and we issued a press release.
The next day I received a phone call from the FAA telling us that we were not allowed to fly Professor Hawking under our existing operating specification because our Ops-specs required that we only fly “able bodied individuals.” And clearly Hawking, who was totally paralyzed and wheelchair bound, wasn’t “able bodied.”
This proclamation by the FAA infuriated me.
After the immediate frustration, I had the presence of mind to ask a key question of the FAA: “Who determines whether Prof. Hawking is able-bodied?”
The answer was: "I guess it would probably be Professor Hawking's physicians or space-medical specialists."
That answer was good news.
Next, I purchased a malpractice insurance policy for a few key physicians, and obtained from them three signed letters of support submitted to the FAA stating, "that Hawking was able bodied for a zero-g flight."
To maximize the chance of a safe flight, we set up an emergency room onboard G-FORCE ONE and supported Professor Hawking with four physicians (among them Dr. Erik Viirre) and two nurses accompanying him on the trip (monitoring heart rate, respiration, blood pressure, etc.).
At the pre-flight press conference, we announced our intention to fly the Professor on a single 30-second parabola, and maybe, if everything went perfectly, a second arc.
At least that was the plan...
The first parabola went so smoothly, and Hawking was having such a great time, that we flew a second, and a third... and another and another.
In total, we made eight arcs with him aboard. 

On the heels of this successful flight, with Hawking showing a disabled individual could safely fly in zero gravity, I was very proud that we next had the amazing opportunity to fly six wheelchair-bound teenagers into zero gravity.
These were kids who had never walked a day in their lives, yet they got to soar like Superman on their flight.

Important Lessons: Grit, Creativity, and Passion

Perhaps the most important lesson here is that of Passion and Grit.
No one would have endured an 11 year "startup" and the continual stream of "no's" unless my co-founders and I were so absolutely passionate about making this happen.
The complement to passion is grit, the absolute commitment to making it happen.
None of this would have happened without grit, creativity, and passion from our team.
"No simply means begin again at one level higher." (Peter's Law #12)
Allow me to explain. When someone says no, it's often because they're not empowered to say yes.
In many organizations, the only person who can say yes to a difficult or non-standard situation is the person at the top the food chain, in my case the FAA Administrator.
If you believe something is your passion, your highest calling, don't give up when someone tells you that you can't do it. Simply gather yourself and find the next person up the hierarchy and begin again.
Another common fear is known as Murphy's Law – if anything can go wrong, it will go wrong.
In my world, "If anything can go wrong, Fix it. To hell with Murphy!" (Peter's Law #1)
Stuff goes wrong. Expect it, learn from it, fix it—that's how remarkable things happen.
With a mix of creativity, grit, and passion, you can accomplish almost anything.

Friday, March 16, 2018

Notations From the Grid (Special Friday Edition): Selected Headlines Courtesy @Futurism

Please Enjoy:

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Australia is on track to completely eliminate cervical cancer. Since 2007, the country has been vaccinating all adolescents against papillomavirus, for free. READ MORE
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DARPA's Biostasis program wants to slow down the body's biological processes after a severe injury, increasing a soldier's chance of getting critical care. READ MORE
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U.K. Researchers are using stem cells to develop a "patch" that could help mend diseased and damaged hearts, eliminating the need for a transplant. READ MORE
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Elon Musk says his Boring Company is switching focus to prioritize transportation for pedestrians and cyclists over cars. According to Musk, the company "will still transport cars, but only after all personalized mass transit needs are met." READ MORE
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A rechargeable prototype battery created by Australian researchers runs off of carbon and water, making it an environmentally-friendly alternative to the lithium and rare earth batteries found in most electronics. READ MORE

Wednesday, March 14, 2018

Notations On Our World (Weeklyl Edition): Tomorrow Has Already Arrived--Are We Ready?

Here is a window into the Future that is already here--We will be assessing whether we are ready as a society or not

It is hereby underscored by what has been happening with Uber & Waymo:


Waymo’s self-driving trucks will arrive on Georgia roads next week
The announcement arrives days after Uber revealed its self-driving trucks are already hauling freight in Arizona.
By Peter Holley  •  Read more »

Sunday, March 11, 2018

Notations From the Grid (W-End Edition): On the State of Retail...

Retail is undergoing transformation.    In our backyard of Southern California alone, we have been witness to store closures epitomized by the latest sale going on at Sears in Westiminster.    Peter Diamandis reflected upon this in his latest notatoin that we hereby present for this weekend edition of Notations:

Exponential technologies (AI, VR, 3D printing, and networks) are radically reshaping traditional retail. 
E-commerce giants (Amazon, Walmart, Alibaba) are digitizing the retail industry, riding the exponential growth of computation.
Many brick-and-mortar stores have already gone bankrupt, or migrated their operations online.
Massive change is occurring in this arena. All one needs to do is look at the following table to understand the massive upheaval afoot. 
 
2006
2016
2018
06 - '18
Company
Value ($B)
Value ($B)
Value ($B)
% Change
Sears
$14.3
$0.9
$0.3
-98%
JCPenney
$18.1
$1.7
$1.2
-94%
Nordstrom
$12.4
$7.7
$8.9
-28%
Kohl’s
$24.2
$7.1
$11.2
-54%
Macy’s
$24.2
$7.1
$9.3
-62%
Best Buy
$28.4
$18.5
$21.4
-25%
Target
$51.3
$31.7
$40.9
-20%
Walmart
$214.0
$243.9
$262.9
23%
AMAZON
$17.5
$474.4
$726.3
4050%
For those “real-life-stores” that survive, an evolution is taking place from a product-centric mentality to an experience-based business model by leveraging AI, VR/AR, and 3D printing.
Let’s dive in.

E-Commerce Trends

Last year, 3.8 billion people were connected online. By 2024, thanks to 5G, stratospheric and space-based satellites, we will grow to 8 billion people online, each with megabit to gigabit connection speeds. 
These 4.2 billion new digital consumers will begin buying things online, a potential bonanza for the e-commerce world.
At the same time, entrepreneurs seeking to service these 4-billion+ new consumers can now skip the costly steps of procuring retail space and hiring sales clerks.
Today, thanks to global connectivity, contract production, and turnkey pack-and-ship logistics, an entrepreneur can go from an idea to building and scaling a multimillion-dollar businesses from anywhere in the world in record time. 
And while e-commerce sales have been exploding (growing from $34 billion in Q1-2009 to $115 billion in Q3-2017), e-commerce only accounted for 10 percent of total retail sales in 2017.
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U.S. ecommerce sales growth
 In 2016, global online sales totaled $1.8 trillion. Remarkably, this $1.8 trillion was spent by only 1.5 billion people – a mere 20 percent of Earth’s global population that year. 
There’s plenty more room for digital disruption. 

AI and the Retail Experience

For the business owner...
AI will demonetize e-commerce operations with automated customer service, ultra-accurate supply chain modeling, marketing content generation and advertising. 
AI-Customer Services: Imagine an AI that is trained by every customer interaction, learns how to answer any consumer question perfectly, and offers feedback to product designers and company owners as a result. 
Facebook’s Handover Protocol allows live customer service representatives and language-learning bots to work within the same Facebook Messenger conversation.
Taking it one step further, imagine an AI that is empathic to a consumer’s frustration, that can take any amount of abuse and come back with a smile every time. As one example, meet Ava. "Ava is a virtual customer service agent, to bring a whole new level of personalization and brand experience to that customer experience on a day-to-day basis," says Greg Cross, CEO of Ava’s creator, an Austrian company called Soul Machines. 
Optimized Supply-Chain: Predictive modeling and machine learning are also optimizing product ordering and the supply chain process. For example, Skubana, a platform for online sellers, leverages data analytics to provide entrepreneurs constant product performance feedback and maintain optimal warehouse stock levels.
Blockchain is set to follow suit in the retail space. ShipChain and Ambrosus plan to introduce transparency and trust into shipping and production, further reducing costs for entrepreneurs and consumers. 
For the consumer…
Personal shopping assistants are shifting the psychology of the standard shopping experience. 
Amazon’s Alexa marks an important user interface moment in this regard.
Alexa is in her infancy with voice search and vocal controls for smart homes. Already, Amazon’s Alexa users, on average, spent more on Amazon.com when purchasing than standard Amazon Prime customers -- $1,700 versus $1,400.
As I’ve discussed in previous blogs, the future combination of virtual reality shopping, coupled with a personalized, AI-enabled fashion advisor will make finding, selecting and ordering products fast and painless for consumers.
But let’s take it one step further.
Imagine a future in which your personal AI shopper knows your desires better than you do. Possible? I think so. After all, our future AI’s will follow us, watch us, and observe our interactions -- including how long we glance at objects, our facial expressions and much more.
In this future, shopping might be as easy as, “Buy me a new outfit for Saturday night’s dinner party.”
... Followed by a surprise-and-delight moment in which the outfit that arrives is perfect 
In this future world of AI-enabled shopping, one of the most disruptive implications is that advertising is now dead. 
In a world where an AI is buying my stuff, and I’m no longer in the decision loop, why would a big brand ever waste money on a Super Bowl advertisement?
The dematerialization, demonetization and democratization of personalized shopping has only just begun. 

The In-Store Experience: Experiential Retailing

In 2017, over 6,700 brick-and-mortar stores closed their doors, surpassing the former record year for store closures set in 2008 during the financial crisis. Regardless, business is still booming. 
As shoppers seek the convenience of online shopping, brick-and-mortar stores are tapping into the power of the experience economy.
Rather than focusing on the practicality of the products they buy, consumers are instead seeking out the experience of going shopping.
The Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, and computation are exponentially improving the in-person consumer experience.
As AI dominates curated online shopping, AI and data analytics tools are also empowering “in-real-life” store owners to optimize staffing, marketing strategies, customer relationship management and inventory logistics.
In the short term: retail store locations will serve as the next big user interface for production 3D printing (custom 3D printed clothes at the Ministry of Supply), virtual and augmented reality (DIY skills clinics), and the Internet of Things (checkout-less shopping). 
In the long term: we’ll see how our desire for enhanced productivity and seamless consumption balances with our preference for enjoyable in-real-life consumer experiences — all of which will be driven by exponential technologies.
One thing is for certain: the nominal shopping experience is on the verge of a major transformation.

Implications 

The convergence of exponential technologies has already revamped how and where we shop…How we use our time, and how much we pay...
Twenty years ago, Amazon showed us how the web could offer each of us the long tail of available reading material, and since then, the world of e-commerce has exploded. 
And yet we still haven’t experienced the cost savings coming our way from drone delivery, the Internet of Things, tokenized ecosystems, the impact of truly powerful AI, or even the other major applications for 3D printing and AR/VR.
Perhaps nothing will be more transformed than today’s $20 trillion retail sector. 
Hold on, stay tuned and get your AI-
enabled cryptocurrency ready.

Thursday, March 8, 2018

Notations On Our World (Special Thursday Edition): On Change Management




An embrace of the Art of the possible for anyone wishing to create a Vision of the Possible!!