Imagine a future flashpoint with China — perhaps a conflict over Taiwan — where Beijing is able to escape the pain of one of the most severe sanctions the West could levy: being blocked from the global SWIFT payments system. China is building the infrastructure to do just that with a blockchain backbone for its central bank digital currency, the digital yuan. Were the digital yuan to be widely adopted Chinese organizations could transact around the world without touching the U.S. monetary system. In Thursday’s Digital Future Daily, we asked if Bitcoin and other private cryptocurrencies could be put to authoritarian ends. How might authoritarian governments use central bank digital currencies to accumulate global power? China is years ahead of the US in its thinking. When President Joe Biden issued a March executive order —“Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets” — that created a series of 2022 deadlines for government agencies to assess the risks, opportunities and national security implications of creating a central bank digital currency, he was playing catchup. Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX) — the ranking member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee — worries about the head start the digital yuan has on any digital dollar that the Fed may eventually issue. He argues that the U.S., the SWIFT consortium and the central banks that oversee it need to plan for China's long-term challenge. “It’s a bit too early to talk about a post-SWIFT world — it does millions of transactions per day,” McCaul said, but added “SWIFT needs to be thinking about evolving to match new technologies, and because China is thinking about the post-SWIFT world.” The People's Bank of China says that as of January, 261 million Chinese citizens — one in five — have set up digital yuan wallets, which are available for download on Chinese mobile app stores. In the U.S., meanwhile, many key players are unconvinced that a digital dollar is needed to supplement today’s reasonably efficient payments system. By Patrick TuckerTime, effort, and materiel are being wasted for lack of a little expertise, say two U.S. volunteers recently returned from the war-torn country.
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